I feel really weird about #1 because when I was looking at 538 pre-election, and I saw that 33% chance of Trump, I think that was honestly when I realized we were probably fucked. Maybe it was inherent pessimism. But I think I always thought this was a very realistic outcome, and as horrified as I am by that, I think it made it easier to be like "well that happened and now my worst-case fallback plans are ready to go."
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I feel really weird about #1 because when I was looking at 538 pre-election, and I saw that 33% chance of Trump, I think that was honestly when I realized we were probably fucked. Maybe it was inherent pessimism. But I think I always thought this was a very realistic outcome, and as horrified as I am by that, I think it made it easier to be like "well that happened and now my worst-case fallback plans are ready to go."